Publications8

The current confrontational posture of Western powers towards Iraq and Libya is analysed in terms of the endeavour of Western powers, especially the US and its allies, to establish their hegemonic rule not only in West Asia but also in other parts of the world, in the context of an emerging ‘unjust’ international order.

THE SPRATLYS DISPUTES AND PROSPECTS FOR SETTLEMENT

By Ji Guoxing
1992 36pp RM5.00/US$2.50 ISBN 967-947-137-3

The Spratly Islands, the biggest of the four archipelagoes in the South China Sea are claimed either in part of or wholly, by five countries: Philippines, Malaysia, Vietnam, Taiwan and the People’s Republic of China. The author of this paper traces the history of the islands from its discovery and administration by the Chinese, who maintain their sovereignty over the islands, intervention by foreign powers and finally to the present conflicting claims. He says that China is all for a peaceful ‘common exploration and sharing of resources with the problem of sovereignty pushed aside for a certain period of time’.

THE CHANGING ASIA PACIFIC ENVIRONMENT:
Quest for peace

By Abdul Ghafar Baba
1992 5pp KM2.50/US$1.50 ISBN 967-947-155-1

The booklet, based on the text of a speech bv the author at the Asia Pacific Roundtable in 1991, analyses the great changes taking place in the global strategic environment, with special emphasis on their relevance to the Asia Pacific region. The author proposes steps that could be taken to promote lasting peace and stability, both globally and regionally.

JAPAN’S ROLE IN THE WORLD

By Wendy Dobson
1992 9pp RM5.OO/US$2.50 ISBN 967-947-153-5

The ending of the Cold War with removal of the common security threat has bared economic tensions among the world’s three major economies. Japan has emerged as an economic superpower, technology leader and capital supplier, but as yet lacks a widely-understood vision within which it will exercise its new clout. This lecture looks at Japan’s recent record in meeting some of the numerous and complex challenges of managing in a rapidly-changing world economy, and at prospects for the future evolution of Japan’s international economic role.

THE REALITIES AND MYTHS BEHIND JAPAN’S INDUSTRIAL JUGGERNAUT

By Kunio Yoshihara
1992 13pp RM5.OO/US$2.50 ISBN 967-947-152-7

The real driving force behind the Japanese economy has been the manufacturing industry, but the proposition that Japanese industry has developed because of the powerful MITI (Ministry of International Trade and Industry) is a myth, asserts the author. It is possible that because of MITI’s intervention, economic restructuring went smoothly and Japan is benefitting from it today. But industrial policy is not the only factor for Japan’s success argues the author. Several factors working in tandem are required.

THE TRENDS IN THE JAPANESE CONSUMER MARKET

By Katsuhiro Utada
1992 8pp RM5.OO/US$2.50 ISBN 967-947-151-9

The Japanese consumer market, which was worth US$1.7 trillion in 1989, is seeing a growing trend towards sophistication through upgrading or buying durable goods with increased functions. The author discusses sophisticated consumption from three angles: diversification, higher quality and service-oriented trends.

KONSEP FURUSATO
Ke arah Jepun yang manusiawi dan makmur

By Noboru Takeshita
Diterjemahkan oleh Firdaus Abdullah
1991 147 hal. RM16.00/US$8.00 (sc) RM24.00/US$12.00 (hc) ISBN 967-947-140-3

Dalam buku ini, bekas Perdana Menteri dan Menteri Kewangan Jepun menghuraikan pandangannya tentang kegunaan ciri-ciri budaya ‘setempat’ dari pelbagai daerah di Jepun sebagai asas bagi pertumbuhan negara Jepun moden yang lebih manisiawi sifatnya.

JASA: TOWARDS AN ECONOMICALLY RESILIENT SOUTHEAST ASIA
Proceedings of the Second Japan-Southeast Asia Conference

1991 302pp RM40.00/US$20.00 ISBN 967-947-123-3

This publication consists of papers presented by participants from the government, academic and private sectors of the Southeast Asian countries, and Japan, who were invited by the conference organisers to explore the concept of ‘economic resilience’ in the context of their countries’ economies. The book is divided into three sections; the first section discusses the global and regional dimensions; the second, the national dimension; and the third, the Japan dimension.

THE VALUE ADDED TAX IN MALAYSIA
The rationale, design and issues

By Suresh Narayanan
1991 117pp RM25.00/US$12.50 ISBN 967-947-142-X

The Value Added Tax has been described as the ‘most important tax innovation of the second half of the 20th century’. In this book, the author, an Associate Professor at the School of Social Sciences, Universiti Sains Malaysia, discusses, within the Malaysian context, the operation, desirability and applicability of the VAT in its widely-used form.

THE GROWTH OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR IN MALAYSIA

By Ismail Muhd Salleh and H Osman Rani
1991 130pp RM32.00/US$16.00 ISBN 967-947-127-6

This book is an outgrowth of intensified scrutiny in recent years of the role of the government in Malaysia’s economic development. It discusses the causes and consequences of public sector growth in the economy during the last three decades, and future prospects. It also looks at privatisation as an option.

THE GROWTH OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR IN MALAYSIA

By Ismail Muhd Salleh and H Osman Rani
1991 130pp RM32.00/US$16.00 ISBN 967-947-127-6

This book is an outgrowth of intensified scrutiny in recent years of the role of the government in Malaysia’s economic development. It discusses the causes and consequences of public sector growth in the economy during the last three decades, and future prospects. It also looks at privatisation as an option.

ENHANCING MALAYSIA’S EXPORT CAPABILITIES

Edited by Tan Siew Hoey
1991 235pp RM37.00/US$18.50 ISBN 967-947-130-6

For Malaysia, which is a small open economy, exports have always been the prime engine of growth. At the National Seminar on Enhancing Malaysia’s Export Capabilities held in Kuala Lumpur from August 7-8 1990, the issue of how to further strengthen and promote Malaysian exports was discussed against the backdrop of developing manufacturing and resource-based industries.

MALAYSIA AND THE LAW OF THE SEA
The foreign policy issues, the options, and their implications

By Mark J Valencia
1991 155pp RM40.00/US$20.00 ISBN 967-947-124-1

The Law of the Sea Convention was signed by 119 countries, including Malaysia, on December 10, 1982 after some fifteen years of difficult and very complicated negotiations. This book provides a summary of the Malaysian foreign policy issues created or exacerbated by extended maritime jurisdiction and the Convention, and examines for Malaysia the policy options regarding these issues, as well as their implications.

US-MALAYSIA NEXUS
Themes in superpower-small-state relations

By Pamela Sodhy
1991 570pp RM90.00/US$45.00 (sc) ISBN 967-947-133-0
RM105.00/US$55.00 (hc) ISBN 967-947-131-4

This book traces the US~Malaysian relationship from the early contacts in the 17th century through to 1990. Important phases of the relationship – the early years until 1945; the postwar period, 1946-49; the Korean War period, 1950~53; the immediate pre and post-independence years, 1954-63; the Confrontation years, 1963-66; post-Confrontation to the end of the Vietnam War, 1967-75; the Carter and Hussein Onn administrations, 1976-80; and the Reagan-Bush and Mahathir administrations, 1981-90 — are examined through a prism of themes that includes:

The regional approach of US foreign policy, and the US perception of Malaysia as being under the British sphere of influence (until 1971), and their effects on the relationship;
The economic/commercial dimension of the relationship;
The ties at the political and military levels;
The educational and sociocultural dimensions; and
The fledgling legal dimension.

QUEST FOR SECURITY
Proceedings of the Fourth Asia-Pacific Roundtable

Edited by Jawhar Hassan and Rohana Mahmood
1991 135pp RM28.00/US$14.00 (sc) ISBN 967-947-135-7
RM36.00/US$18.00 (hc) ISBN 967-947-134-9

This fourth publication in the series of books resulting from the Asia-Pacific Roundtables discusses:

Great power relations in the Pacific: Future directions
Arms reduction and control in the Pacific;
Issues for negotiations in a comprehensive Cambodian settlement;
Obstacles to peace in the Korean peninsula
For the first time, five simultaneous seminars were held to discuss developments in Northeast Asia, the South Pacific, the Philippines, Vietnam and Eastern Europe. This volume contains 10 selected papers and three workshop reports on arms control, the Korean conflict, and the Cambodian conflict.

MYANMAR AND THE WIDER SOUTHEAST ASIA

Edited by Rohana Mahmood and Hans-Joachim Esders
1991 63pp RM18.00/US$9.00 ISBN 967-947-126-8

This book is the outcome of a two-day international seminar held in Kuala Lumpur in July 1990 which brought together 31 participants from Asean, Myanmar and outside the region to discuss the subject of Myanmar, within the context of Southeast Asia. The discussions covered the domestic challenges facing the country in the nineties, the external dimensions of Myanmar’s situation, and also compared Myanmar’s reforms with those of Indonesia, when the Suharto government took over.

WHY JAPAN’S INDUSTRIES SHOULD SAY ‘YES’ TO THE EAEG

By Zainal Abidin Sulong
1991 8pp RM2.50/US$1.50 ISBN 967-947-136-5

The title is self-explanatory. The Malaysian proposal for an East Asian Economic Grouping (EAEG) was not met with enthusiasm bv Japan. The author who is chairman of ISIS Malaysia and the Malaysian Industrial Development Authority (MIDA), presents his case on why it would be to Japan’s advantage to be in this grouping. This paper was presented at the 14th Joint Annual Conference of Jameca-Majeca in Kyoto, Japan on June 6, 1991.

ECONOMIC LIBERALISATION IN POLAND

By Jerzy Diet
1991 12pp RM2.50/US$1.50 ISBN 967-947-128-4

This paper looks at the transition from a state-run economy to a market-type economy in Poland. It also analyses the measures being taken towards economic liberalisation and examines the problems involved. The author, a member of the Polish Senate and Professor of marketing at the University of Lodz, also highlights the governments dilemma – that the move to a liberal market economy paradoxically calls for strong state intervention, albeit of a temporary nature.

THE POLITICS OF JAPAN-VIETNAM RELATIONS

By Khong Kim Hoong
1991 30pp RM5.50/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-129-2

Nixon’s announcement of US rapprochement with China in 1971 set in motion the wheels of change in Japan’s foreign policy in Asia. This paper looks at the dominant factors and significant events in Japanese foreign policy regarding Vietnam in the context of the security situation in the region. The author also examines the use of economic aid as a lever in Japan-Vietnam relations.

LIVESTOCK POLICY AND PRODUCTION IN MALAYSIA

By Tan Siew Hoey
1991 26pp RM5.00/US$2.50 ISBN 967-947-125-X

This paper looks at the livestock sector in Malaysia, where the performance of the non-ruminant sector far outstrips that of the ruminant sector. The author, a senior analyst at the ISIS Malaysia analyses the trends in the remarkable performance of the pig and poultry subsector and the struggling performance of the cattle and the sheep subsector, and then examines the reasons for this disparity, The analysis done against the backdrop of policy intervention in the livestock sector, also highlights current issues related to livestock production.

JAPAN’S STRATEGIES FOR AND FUTURE COMMITMENT TO THE CHANGING WORLD

By Saburo Okita
1991 13pp RM4.50/US$2.50 ISBN 967-947-138-1

Dr Saburo Okita, former Foreign Minister of Japan, outlines three elements of the economic relationship between Japan and the Asia Pacific countries — trade, investment and official development assistance (ODA). He elaborates on the philosophies behind ODA and gives a rounded view of what Japan would do to ensure sustainable development in the Asia Pacific region.

TOWARDS A NEW PACIFIC ORDER
Proceedings of the Fifth Asia-Pacific Roundtable

Edited by Jawhar Hassan and Rohana Mahmod
1991 182pp RM28.00/US$14.00 (sc) 967-947-147-0
RM38.00/US$19.00 (hc) ISBN 967-947-144-6

The shifting sands of global events was the backdrop against which about 200 participants from all over the Pacific met, for the fifth time, to discuss confidence building and conflict reduction in the region. The issues discussed were braodly:

The positive and negatives factors impinging on peace in the Pacific in the short and medium term;
Proposals for confidence building and conflict reduction mechanisms for the Pacific;
Arms control and arms limitations in the Pacific;
The future of the Cambodian conflict; and
The future of the Korean conflict.

JASA: A NEW ERA OF CO-OPERATION
Proceedings of the First Japan-Southeast Asia Conference

1990 95pp RM14.00/US$7.00 ISBN 967-947-123-3

Organised by the ISIS Malaysia, with assistance from the Sasakawa Peace Foundation of Japan, the inaugural Japan-Southeast Asia (JASA) Conference held from November 24-27, 1989 in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, was a landmark event in the evolving relationship between Japan and the countries of Southeast Asia. For the first time ever, representatives of all 10 countries of what is geographically referred to as Southeast Asia, sat down with their Japanese counterparts to discuss issues of common concern. The conference’s tone was positive and future~oriented. This volume comprises four papers, four summary reports, and the Keynote Address by former ISIS Chairman the late Tun Hussein Onn.

REGIONAL SECURITY:
How to advance US-Malaysia interests

By Mohd Jawhar Hassan
1990 6pp RM2.50/$1.50 ISBN 967-947-113-6

This is the text of a luncheon talk delivered at the Fourth Malaysia-US Colloquium held in Washington, in May 1990. The author first touches briefly on what the strategic picture in Southeast Asia is likely to be in the near future and then goes on to examine the areas he thinks should be focussed on in:

Advancing shared US-.Malaysia interests
The China factor
Strengthening Asean’s security capabilities
The Cambodian conflict
Developing a larger regional framework for co-operation US and Soviet presence in the region
The economic dimension

PRIVATISATION:
The process so far

Ismail Muhd Salleh and Lee Tin Hui
1990 15pp RM5.00/US$2.50 ISBN 967-947-137-3

Privatisation was officially initiated in Malaysia in 1983. In this paper the authors examine privatisation in the 1980s, its implementation mechanism and process, major efforts in privatisation and the approaches adopted, as well as the positive and negative effects of privatisation on the Malaysian economy. The Malaysian privatisation Masterplan which has been drawn up and is awaiting Cabinet approval is also discussed.

SMALL AND MEDIUM SCALE INDUSTRIALISATION: PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS

By Ismail Md Salleh
1990 28pp RM5.50/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-121-7

In the current attempt to accelerate the growth of the modern industrialised sector, greater emphasis is being placed on the development of SMIs. This paper examines the structure of Malaysian small and medium scale industries and their relative significance in the economy, compares the contribution of Malaysian SMIs with those in the Philippines, South Korea and Japan, and discusses the roles SMIs could play in the development of the economy in terms of employment creation, savings mobilisation, income distribution and fostering linkages between SMIs and large scale industries.

SINGAPORE-INDONESIA DEFENCE CO-OPERATION
A case study of defence bilateralism within Asean

By Bilveer Singh
1990 19pp KM4.50/US$2.50 ISBN 967-947-132-2

Asean as a regional grouping has not had an impressive record in military co-operation and integration. This however, has not prevented member-states from co-operating bilaterally and even multilaterally in many areas, including military matters, outside the purview and framework of Asean. This paper examines the level of such a military co-operation between Singapore and Indonesia, and its future prospects. The reasons for the unviability of a military pact in the region are also detailed. Bilveer Singh is Director of the Singapore Institute of International Affairs and lecturer in the Department of Political Science in the National University of Singapore.

SINGAPORE’S GROWTH PROSPECTS TO THE MID-1990S

By Hank Lim
1990 19pp RM4.00/US$2.00 ISBN 967-947-100-4

In 1990 Singapore’s economy was enjoying a growth rate of between 8.5 and 9 per cent surpassing government expectations in early 1989 of a 6-7 per cent growth. The writer, a senior lecturer in the Economics and Statistics Department of the National University of Singapore, gives some indications of what Singapore will be like, economically, in the 1990s and beyond. Among other things he examines Singapore’s changing economic structure, and the economic policy parameters employed by the government for it to achieve its longterm goal of achieving industrial economy status by the year 2000. Present and expected sources of economic growth are discussed and also its composition. External demand for Singapore’s exports are examined against the background of Asean’s political and economic environments and the rapidly-growing economies of the Asia-Pacific region.

THE SOVIET UNION, EASTERN EUROPE AND WESTERN RESPONSES

By Curt Gasteyger
1990 11pp RM3.00/US$1.50 ISBN 967-947-108-X

Changes in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe have been rapid and far-reaching. Historical developments have led to a new post-war configuration that few could predict as possible. This paper was delivered at a time of such exciting changes when the horizon was cluttered with a whole range of possibilities. It discusses the ups and downs of western reactions to what is happening in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe and weighs them against the more fundamental and historical causes and effects.

ASEAN AND INDOCHINA:
War or peace?

1990 15pp RM5.501US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-107-1

Four panelists, Professor Mochtar Kusumaatmadja, Foreign Minister of Indonesia from 1978 to 1988, Dr Bilveer Singh, a political science lecturer at the National University of Singapore, His Excellency Kithong Vongsay, Deputy Minister of Trade and Foreign Economic Relations of Laos, and Mr Son Soubert, son of and assistant to the Prime Minister of the Coalition Government of Democratic Kampuchea, Mr Son Sann, presented highly divergent points of view in an issue that remains an obstacle and a roadblock to relations between the Asean Six and the three Indochinese countries. Among the many questions that arose at this forum were:

Was the Vietnamese withdrawal from Cambodia genuine?
Is the Khmer Rouge the impediment to a settlement?
How does the legitimacy or otherwise of the Hun Sen regime figure in this whole scenario?
Is a quadripartite government feasible?
Is Asean solidarity threatened by Thailand’s actions?

ASIA-PACIFIC CO-OPERATION:
Where do we go from here?

1990 14pp RM5.50/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-106-3

There is some dispute about how the vast potential of the growing Pacific economy can be harnessed for its greater growth both intra-regionally as well as in its relationship with the outside world. The panelists are, ISIS Director-General Dr Noordin Sopiee, Indonesia’s former Foreign Minister Professor Mochtar Kusumaatmadja, Japan’s Sasakawa Peace Foundation Programme Director, Dr Kazuo Takahashi, and former Philippines Minister/Secretary of Socio-Economic Planning, Assoc Prof Dr Solita Monsod. The forum was chaired by Commerce International Merchant Bankers Bhd Executive Director Dr Munir Majid. The following issues were raised:

Is there a need to strengthen the Asean Secretariat and to establish a think-tank;
Should Asean participate in APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation);
The possibility of instituting JASEAN (a Japan-Asean annual ministerial meeting).

THE WORLD IN THE 1990s:
Growth or stagnation?

1990 17pp RM5.50/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-103-9

What will the world economy be like in the 1990s? This was the question posed by ISIS Director-General Dr Noordin Sopiee to a panel of three renowned economists from different parts of the Pacific. They were Professor Hugh Patrick of Columbia University, New York, Dr Hadi Soesastro, Executive Director of the Jakarta Centre for Strategic and International Studies, and Professor Ippei Yamazawa of Japan’s Hitotsubashi University. The panelists were unanimous in their optimistic forecasts on the world economy. Besides delving into the reasons for their optimism, the panelists discussed Japan’s and the US’ roles in the world economy, possible political and economic repercussions of the Eastern European upheaval, Third World debt, new growth centres, and Asia-Pacific economic co-operation.

THE CHALLENGE OF INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT

1990 13pp RM5.50/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-101-2

Three experts who are in the business of planning industrial technology development give valuable advice on the topic in this ISIS-RTM Forum chaired by ISIS Director-General Dr Noordin Sopiee. Datuk Dr Omar Abdul Rahman, the Science Advisor to the Prime Minister’s Department discusses the Malaysian perspective, Dr Hyung Sup Choi who master-minded South Korea’s technology development in his capacity as Minister of Science and Technology during those crucial years, told his miracle story, while the third panelist, Dr Nawaz Sharif, who up to a few months ago was director of the Asian and Pacific Centre for Technology Transfer, rounded up the discussion with observations resulting from years of experience. Discussions delved into the overall strategies to keep in mind when planning industrial technology development.

THE QUESTION OF PALESTINE:
Where do we go from here?

1990 17pp RM5.50/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-102-0

Four outstanding panelists drawn from participants of the 23rd United Nations Seminar and Third Asian NonGovernmental Symposium on the Question of Palestine held in Kuala Lumpur from 18-22 December 1989, debated this issue. They were Datuk Razali Ismail, Permanent representative of Malaysia to the United Nations, Dr Hanan Mikhail Ashrawi, of Birzeit University, Paul Findley, Former US Congressman (Republican) and Mr Zuhdi Labib Terzi, Permanent Representative of the PLO to the United Nations. Subjects brought up were intifadah, and its impact in hitherto unsympathetic areas, such as Western Europe, and how more pressure is being brought to bear on Israel. Mr Findley maintained that the real battle to be fought and won was that in the United States, between the American people and the powerful Israeli lobby in the US that was ensuring unconditional US monetary and military support for the Israelis.

SOVIET UNION IN SINGAPORE’S FOREIGN POLICY:
An analysis

By Bilveer Singh
1990 219pp RM24.00/US$12.00 ISBN 967-947-105~5

This book explains Singapore’s foreign policy behaviour towards the Soviet Union in the classic small state-big power configuration. The analysis, from the Singapore point of view, begins with the overview of Singapore-Soviet relations, placing the study in the context of foreign policy behaviour of small states. It also examines:

The factors which shape Singapore’s foreign policy towards the Soviet Union
The nature of Singapore-Soviet relations;
The course of relations between the two countries from 1965-1985; and
The relationship since Mikhail Gorbachev became the general-secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union.

PEACE IN THE MAKING
Proceedings of the Third Asia-Pacific Roundtable

Edited by Rohana Mahmood
1990 108pp RM20.00/US$10.00 (sc) RM30.00/US$15.00 ISBN 967-947-109-8
RM30.00/US$15.00 (hc) ISBN 967-947-110-1

This volume comprises eight papers and the keynote address together with the reports of two workshops, of the Third Asia Pacific Roundtable held in Kuala Lumpur from July 16-19, 1989. The consensus of the participants was that peace was on the march, not only in the Pacific but globally.

1985 – 1989

ALTERNATIVE SOLUTIONS TO UNEMPLOYMENT IN MALAYSIA

By R. Thillainathan
1989 22pp RM5.00/US$2.50 ISBN 9667-947-087-3

In this paper, the writer discusses the major economic changes in the Malaysian economy in the early and mid-eighties and how they have contributed to the unemployment problem. He analyses recent developments in the labour market and offers suggestions on how to tackle the unemployment problem. The writer is general manager and chief executive of Bank Buruh and is considered one of Malaysia’s top economists.

THE SITUATION IN CHINA:
Causes and consequences

By Robert A Scalapino
1989 8pp PM2.50/US$1.50 ISBN 967-947-092-X

In this concise and balanced paper presented shortly after the June 4 killings in Tiananmen Square, Prof Robert A Scalapino presents an assessment of both the deep-rooted reasons behind the tragedy and the broader implications it holds for China. He warns of two major crises that cannot be avoided in China – the crisis of leadership and crisis of policy – and concludes with observations about China’s current position in the world and Sino-American relations.

THE CAMBODIAN CONFLICT: 1978-1989

By Mohamed Noordin Sopiee
1989 27pp RM5.50/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-094-6

This wide-ranging analysis of the Cambodia conflict by ISIS Director General Dr Noordin Sopiee was first presented at the Third Asia-Pacific Roundtable. It has been revised to take into account the rapid developments taking place that have substantially improved the prospects for a solution to this longstanding dispute. Issues discussed include: the positive factors affecting the prospects for a resolution; negative factors working against national reconciliation; and the possible endgame scenarios that are likely to emerge.

THE PACIFIC COMMUNITY PROCESS

By H Edward English
1989 9pp RM3.00/US$1.50 ISBN 967-947-104-7

What is the formula for a successful Pacific Community? According to the writer, three questions are fundamental if consensus is to be reached on the Pacific formula. They are:

What is the Pacific and who belongs to the region?
What can and should the Pacific countries be doing together? What are their shared priorities? and
What formal institutions are likely to contribute to the achievement of those priorities?

The writer is professor of economics at Carleton University, Canada, and an acknowledged expert in international trade and business.

THE OUTBREAK OF PEACE:
Illusion or reality?

1989 12pp RM5.50/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-096-2

Is there a strong peace momentum in the world that promises the end of the great age of confrontation? Four distinguished panelists from the Asia-Pacific discuss this issue and conclude that while there are some positive signs, the verdict is still one of cautious optimism. The panelists are Senator Leticia Shahani, Chairperson, Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, The Philippines; Prof Robert Scalapino, Director, Institute of East Asian Studies, University of California, Berkeley, United States; Dr Cennady Chufrin, Deputy Director, Institute of Oriental Studies, Academy of Sciences, Soviet Union; and Yoshiji Nogamai, Executive Director, Japan Institute of International Affairs, Japan. ISIS Director-General Dr Noordin Sopiee chaired the forum.

SOUTHEAST ASIA BEYOND CAMBODIA

1989 13pp RM5.50/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-097-0

How will Southeast Asia be in the post-Cambodia era? In discussing this issue, panelists agree that there will be tremendous opportunities and new ideas for cooperation. The panelists are Prof Lau Teik Soon, Head of Political Science Department, National University of Singapore; Senator Leticia Shahani, Chairperson, Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, the Philippines; and Sabam Siagian, Chief Editor, The Jakarta Post, Indonesia. ISIS Director-General Dr Noordin Sopiee chaired this forum.

CAMBODIA:
How near to peace?

1989 17pp RM5.50/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-097-0

This forum to explore the so-called ‘end’ to the Cambodian problem shows that the panelists are generally agreed on what constitute the obstacles to peace in that country. Led by ISIS Director-General Dr Noordin Sopiee, the panelists are Congressman Jose de Venecia, Chairman, House Committee on Foreign Relations, the Philippines; Max Soliven, Publisher and Chairman of the Editorial Board, The Philippine Star; Sabam Siagian, Chief Editor, The Jakarta Post, Indonesia; and HE Cavan Hogue, the Australia’s High Commissioner to Malaysia.

JAPAN AND SOUTHEAST ASIA:
Threat or opportunity?

1989 12pp RM5.50/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-099-7

The increasing role of Japan in the region is seen as both a blessing and a bane although the panelists conclude that the balance is towards the side of opportunity. Panelists are Max Soliven, Publisher and Chairman of the Editorial Board, The Philippine Star; HE Tran Quang Co, Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs, Vietnam; Dr Kazuo Takahashi, Programme Director, Sasakawa Peace Foundation, Japan; and Sabam Siagian, Chief Editor, The Jakarta Post, Indonesia. ISIS Director General Dr Noordin Sopiee chaired the forum.

BUILDING CONFIDENCE, RESOLVING CONFLICT
Proceedings of the Second Asia-Pacific Roundtable

Edited by Muthiah Alagappa
1989 155pp RM22.00/US$11.00 (sc) ISBN 967-947-090-3
RM35.00/US$17.50 (hc) ISBN 967-947-091-1 (no stock)

This volume comprising the keynote address and the seven papers presented at the Second Asia-Pacific Roundtable in Kuala Lumpur from July 1-4, 1988, gives a roundup of views and perceptions of various Pacific countries on the following issues:

Prospects for big power rapprochement in the Pacific;
Dynamics of the arms build-up and prospects for arms control in the Pacific;
Relevance of the European experiences for the Asia-Pacific region;
Confidence building and conflict reduction in Northeast and
Southeast Asia and the South Pacific; and
The Cambodian conflict.

THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS:
Where do we go from here?

By Malcolm Fraser
1988 14pp RM4.50/US$2.50 ISBN 967-947-063-6

The facts speak for themselves. With 32 million unemployed in the OECD countries alone, wild currency fluctuations, trade frictions between the US and Japan, and Japan and the EC, debt problems and historically low commodity prices, there is no doubt that the world is facing an economic crisis. What has gone wrong? To answer this, former Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Fraser traces world history from post-World War II days to the present to find the causes before he postulates the possible triggers that could lead to a breakdown of the system.

THE SOUTH AFRICAN CRISIS:
Why the bell of apartheid tolls for everyone

By Shridath S Ramphal
1988 17pp RM4.50/US$2.50 ISBN 967~947-064-4

Commonwealth Secretary-General Sir Shridath S Ramphal explains why the Commonwealth is in the forefront of the international struggle against apartheid and what it has done. He also answers the question ‘Why does apartheid persist?’ Finally he proposes a global five-point response to Botha’s ‘crackdown’ on peaceful change in South Africa.

CONSUMPTION AND TRADE-RELATED TAXES IN MALAYSIA

By Ismail Md Salleh
1988 36pp RM6.00/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-062-8

Besides discussing consumption and trade~related taxes in Malaysia, this paper also traces, in brief, the trend of taxation from 1960-87. The changing pattern of direct and indirect taxes are analysed in terms of their ‘effort and reliance ratios’ and the economic effects of taxes are evaluated in terms of the standard criteria of revenue productivity, equity and efficient resource allocation. Also included is an appendix detailing the justifications and administrative aspects of a value added tax for Malaysia in relation to the weaknesses and limitations of the existing tax structure, specifically the general sales tax.

KAMPUCHEA:
One way forward

By Mohamed Noordin Sopiee
1988 10pp RM2.50/US$1.50 ISBN 967-947-080-6

This paper presented just before the Jakarta Informal Meeting in July 1988 discusses 10 solutions to the Kampuchea problem and proposes a framework for ‘a viable political settlement involving the establishment of a sovereign and reasonably independent, neutral, non-aligned, peaceful, stable and unthreatening Kampuchea’. The writer also sets out the necessary components of political settlement which could secure the conditions of viability, and a political critical path.

ALLIANCE OF THE PROXIES:
USSR-Vietnam relations and the implications

By Abdul Razak A Baginda and Rohana Mahmood
1988 40pp RM6.50/US$3.50 ISBN 967-947-056-3

Despite various strains underlying the Soviet-Vietnamese relationship, the Soviet Union and Vietnam have been important proxies for each other in the last decade. This paper traces the development of the relations between the two proxies, examines how and why the relationship has flowered and then looks at why this relationship matters to Southeast Asia.

SINO-JAPANESE-US MILITARY TECHNOLOGY RELATIONS

By William T Tow
1988 42pp RM6.00/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-075-X

In this assessment of the politics of Sino-Japanese-US military technology relations, the writer delves into the implications of Japan’s participation in the Strategic Defence Initiative (SDI), high technology exports, defence buildup and military technology transfers. Sino American military technology relations are also discussed before the conclusion is drawn that the implications of Sino-Japanese-US high technology politics are ambiguous but far-reaching for the Asia-Pacifc general security environment. And to a significant degree, the process is clouded by indecision in Washington and Tokyo, and China’s tendency to manipulate both of them.

SOVIET POLICY TOWARDS THE ASIA-PACIFIC REGION

By Igor A Rogachev
1988 25pp RM3.00/US$1.50 ISBN 967-947-083-0

In this paper presented at an ISIS World Affairs Forum in April 1988, Soviet Deputy Foreign Minister lgor A Rogachev analyses the policies pursued by the Soviet Union in the Asia-Pacific and explains moves being made as part of the Soviet ‘peace offensive’ in the region. In discussions following the paper presentation, Mr Rogachev also tackles questions on issues such as Soviet relations with China, Kampuchea, the INF Treaty and ZOPFAN.

EAST ASIA IN TRANSITION:
The Asean factor

By Gaston J Sigur
1988 8pp RM3.00/US$1.50 ISBN 967-947-084-9

This paper, delivered by US Assistant Secretary for East Asian and Pacific Affairs Gaston J. Sigur at an ISIS World Affairs Forum in Kuala Lumpur in 1988, discusses the political and security roles of the United States in a region that has undergone dynamic growth and transformation. Other topics discussed include the Asean phenomenon, US-Asean relations and US-Malaysian relations.

THE US, JAPAN & THE PACIFIC RIM:
Competition, co-operation and conflict

By Richard Drobnick
1988 15pp RM4.00/US$2.00 ISBN 967-947-082-2

This paper written in 1988 discusses three key international economic questions he sees the Bush Administration having to reckon with in the coming years: America’s need for foreign capital; reversal of the US trade deficit; and Japan’s emergence as the principal source of international capital. However, instead of ending with a sombre list of conclusions to tackle these problems, the writer makes two sets of proposals, one for American leaders to improve America’s ability to manage an inevitable process of adjustment and the other for Asian leaders to prepare for the far-reaching implications of the major changes in the international economy.

DEBT STRATEGIES FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES:
Future options

By Peter Nunnenkamp
1988 31pp RM5.00/US$2.50 ISBN 967-947-078-4

Dr Peter Nunnenkamp of the Kiel Institute of World Economics gives a candid assessment of the Third World debt problem in this paper, first delivered at an ISIS International Affairs Forum in July 1988. He argues that traditional debt relief is not feasible because the problem has become more structural in nature. Dr Nunnenkamp calls for serious attempts to consider alternative concepts as to how international financial relations can be structured more efficiently.

THE THAI ECONOMY:
Rebound and takeoff

By Bunyaraks Ninsananda
1988 11pp RM4.00/US$2.00 ISBN 967-947-081-4

Thailand’s economic performance in the rnid-1980s, when economies worldwide were in the doldrums, has definitely been remarkable. But the picture was not always so rosy. In the early 1980s, Thailand had gone through its share of economic difficulties. This paper traces Thailand’s economic performance in the mid to late eighties and the sources and characteristics of its growth, to show how Thailand attained its economic achievements. Some of the constraints and development issues which must be tackled if the high growth is to be sustained are also discussed.

CONFLICT AND THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR PEACE IN THE PACIFIC

1988 12pp RM5.50/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-076-8

Five distinguished personalities from all over the Asia~ Pacific discuss the issues of conflict in the Pacific Kampuchea, the Philippine insurgency and the US Japan trade conflict among others – and conclude that many factors are now contributing to the creation of peace. Participants of this forum are former Indonesian Foreign Minister Prof Mochtar Kusumaatmadja; Prof Robert Scalapino of the University of California, Berkeley; Dr Cennady Chufrin of the Soviet Academy of Sciences; Ji Cuoxing of the Shanghai Institute for International Studies; and Dr Kazuo Takahashi of the Sasakawa Peace Foundation, Japan.

PEACE AND SECURITY IN SOUTHEAST ASIA

1988 12pp RMS.50/US$3.00 ISBN 967-947-077-6

The Kampuchean conflict and the Jakarta Informal Meeting, issues of paramount interest in Southeast Asia, come under the spotlight in this forum with three prominent Asean personalities giving their views on the subject. In the panel are former Indonesian Foreign Minister Prof Mochtar Kusumaatmadja who initially helped to show the way towards Bogor (where the JIM was held in July 1988); National University of Singapore’s Dr Chin Kin Wah; and the Philippine Centre for Integrative and Development Studies Director Dr Carolina Hernandez.

IN SEARCH OF PEACE
Confidence building and conflict reduction in the Pacific

Edited by Muthiah Alagappa
1988 72pp PM17.00/US$8.50 (sc) ISBN 967-947-066-0
RM25.00/US$12.50 (hc) ISBN 967-947-070-9 (no stock)

The First Asia-Pacific Roundtable, was held in Kuala Lumpur from Jan 10-11, 1987. Participants were gathered from the Asean countries, Australia, Burma, China, Japan, Laos, New Zealand, North Korea, South Korea, the Soviet Union, the United States and Vietnam. This volume comprises the five papers presented at the Roundtable, together with an introduction to provide a perspective on the changing strategic environment in the Pacific.